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A journal of my beginnings - and questions on BR management

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A journal of my beginnings - and questions on BR management

Postby musicman80 » Mon Apr 04, 2005 1:00 am

OK guys - question for you - first off, let me apologize in advance for the length of this post. I know it's long. I tend to be verbose. Hopefully that won't put you off - and with some luck, my chronicle may even give you some misty-eyed moments about your own budding careers as a poker newbie.

First off, let me preface a lot of this with some basic defenses/admissions: I realize my approach to playing poker (in terms of how to most quickly obtain a self-sustaining BR) are far from the "safe" route... I know I've made mistakes and such, and I know I've done the "oh, another small deposit of $50 won't hurt" bit one time too many... :roll:

That being said, I think I have considered my approach until now to be mostly exploratory. I first started playing poker online at UB about a year and a half ago (July / August '03) ... but I stopped very quickly after I slowly worked my initial deposit of $30 up to $120, playing 0.25/50 limit. I think I even played some 0.10/0.25 NL with this small of a BR... I know once I hit 120, instead of doing the smart thing (withdrawing my $30 as profit, and continuing playing at low stakes), I decided I was ready to play some serious NL, and that was the game where I was better, dammit! Since, of course, I could represent bigger hands, without actually having them... a few all-ins later, and my 120 was down to $40 ... and it trickled down and down. All this happened after about a month and a half of play (at this point my only poker book was Hellmuth's Play Poker Like The Pros :-D).

So I decided to take a break. For several months, I didn't play any poker, though in the interim, I did acquire a few more poker books - a few Sklansky standards and Lee Jones' Wiinning Low Limit Hold'em, which I tried to study, but didn't do a great job at, since I was so fixated on my NL game. Then, one night, at random, almost a year ago, I decided to put in "a few more dollars" and play for a bit. Well, I continued to play 0.10/0.25 NL - and got my ass whipped again, on an all-in. (I was even so amazingly bright as to have had a few beers while I was playing, and figgered, by *gawd*, that my JJ must be good! .... sigh... if only I could slap that version of me back then.)

So I decided I'd quit for good. No more poker. But of course *that* changed. Fast-forward to about December-ish of last year... I wanted to get back in the game I enjoyed so dearly. So I figured I'd deposit some 'healthy' money (only $50, when my 'BR' was down to a few dollars, I think), and played a much more tightened-up version of my NL ring game of 0.10/0.25. (Yes, this was still a big mistake - although in retrospect, I'd still only been playing for fun, even though I didn't relish the idea of continually having to squirrel more and more chunks of money into UB, while not really boosting my BR.)

For an off-and-on period of 2 months, I would alternate in a cycle of depositing some money, winning some money, and losing some money, until I finally had it and deposited $100. At this point I had realized I was in over my head trying to play a $25 buy-in NL game with only 3-4 buy-ins' worth of BR. So my BR was somewhere around 150, and, as luck would have it, I started my first foray into lurking at BTP - where I read some interesting articles on SnGs. I decided that I really liked playing SnGs, because they gave me ability to work on my NL game, while offering a relatively low-stakes way to learn. I knew, at this point, that playing SnGs, where tourney play changes basic strategy a great deal, was not going to be like playing ring games, but at least I'd get to play NL and have some fun, and since I'd dedicated myself to proper study of the game, I was going to stand a pretty decent chance of at least being a break-even player. At this point in my study, I had really grasped ideas of pot odds and expectation, as well as basic tournament strategy ideas, like blind stealing/defense, hand selection, etc. I think at this point of my 'career', I was probably a very able student, and would have been probably a decent-enough break-even or slightly net-plus player, had I stuck to playing one game, instead of switching from limit, to NL, to SnGs ... but alas, I made yet another mistake (this one being the notion that I could 'build' - or more appropriately, rebuild a BR playing SnGs, at my skill level back then).

So naturally, that didn't work so well (playing SnGs, that is), and I put aside poker for another couple of weeks... but my interest in the game had not faded, and my determination to become a winning player at *some* form of the game had not left me. So a few more deposits of squirrel-money ($25 here, $50 there, etc.), and I was back up to $170 ... and I decided I'd settle down quite squarely and alternate play between 0.25/.50 limit and 0.50/1 limit. At this point, I *knew* that 0.50/1 was beyond the means of my BR, so I didn't play it much ... but I found that I was actually a much stronger player than I had been when I first started, and so would end up with consistently net-plus sessions. Also, by this point, I'd invested in quite a few more poker books (I think my library is up to something like 9 or 10 books now :-D), as well as a copy of PokerTracker, and a download of GameTime+. I was armed. I was ready. I was going to win .... right?

Well, not quite. I did have some great positive sessions ... boosted my BR up to $225 ... then it slid down. A lot. To ~130 or something like that... all because of a pretty bad cold streak. And at this point, I'd figured - OK, this game is just plain unbeatable. I can't win. I suck. I have read all the damn books. I've read all the damn forums (BTP and 2+2 being my favorites). I have PT, and GT+. I just cannot win. Or so I thought. (In retrospect, I think I just did have a really bad session - and this can happen - but with all of my mistakes up until then, I wasn't willing to abandon the idea that I just plain sucked.)

Now in all of this time, I'd also been playing some live games - not for money, but we play seriously, so whatever I learned was still applicable to playing a money-game. And I found myself up in Seattle visiting a friend - more specifically, up in Seattle, near a casino - a live B&M cardroom casino - where I'd never played in before. (I live in Texas...) So I sat down at a 3/6 game (it was the lowest limit they offered), and plunked $200 worth of chips out on the table. 2.5 hours later, I had gotten up to $300, while my friend was down $200. So we left, and I was feeling great about myself - that all the skills I'd built up over the thousands of hands of play were actually paying off. (Granted, it could have just been one lucky session - but the fact that I was seriously scared that I'd lose my $200, and instead walked out with $100 more was a HUGE boost to my confidence. On a tangent here - can it really be that that playing in a B&M room is easier than playing online?)

So I came back to Texas thinking I wanted to be in more live games (the craving to go back and make some real $$ playing live hasn't quite left me, I'm afraid :)), but figured the next best thing was playing online. So I took one last-ditch stab at it. I decided I would throw away all the books and stupid "rules" about when you can play what and how you should act and blah blah blah blah. But I decided to keep the *gist* of everything I'd learned. So I still followed good strategy (I wasn't trying to convince myself that I was the next Gus Hansen and could 4-bet every betting round with my 27o :roll:), but decided to formulate *my own* rules. And I decided to do this at the $1/2 level, playing limit.

I deposited just enough to give me a $200 BR at UB. And finally, I got serious about my game. I decided I would pay great attention to table selection (which I've found, has really helped my game a lot), in addition to all the other things I knew about pot odds and expectation, and value betting and check-raising, etc etc etc.

And guess what? I finally have started to win. My $200, over the last few weeks, is up to just under $400. I am excited! I have had some pretty wild days - the most amazing of which have been over this past weekend. Friday night, for instance, I started up $25, then dropped down net -$35, and was feeling miserable (though I kept telling myself it was bound to happen from time to time), until I found a better table, and quickly made a net plus of $65. Today a simiar thing happened - it was up and down and up and down, until I won a great $75 pot (at 1/2 !!) - you can read about that in the Limit forums.. :-)

Anyway. The point is that here I am, now, just shy of $400 (I think it's like $395 or something). According to the ~2200 hands in PT, I have an hourly win rate of $7.13, or 4.34 BB/100, and an SD of $30.5024, or 17.7719 BB. This leaves me with a 0.2% risk-of-ruin - so I am actually playing within my means now. And I have a nice BR starter!

Which brings me to my question. I actually tallied up all of my deposits and such, and discovered that since my initial deposit at UB, I have deposited a total of $412 over the year and a half of my online playing. This is great - this means I'm almost completely break-even after 1.5 years!! (ugh... :o )

The question I've got is this: when do I cash out? How do I *keep* playing a consistently winning game? Is my latest upswing just another 'stroke of luck', or am I really a decent player? The stats in my PT database would suggest legitimate strength in the quality of my play.

My long term goals are not quite defined, I guess - I suppose my biggest goal is to get to the point where I am earning a decent supplemental income from playing poker - ideally somewhere like $1k/month gross. I would also like to have some BR left to play some higher-stakes multi-table tourneys now and then (like $10-buyin or $20-buyin), so that I can also work on my tourney game. My 'dream goal' .... OK don't laugh :oops: .... is to end up in a WPT event, finishing ITM. But silly dreams aside ...... back to bankroll management. Now that I actually have a decent BR, and am playing within my means again, when (and how much) should I cash out to make my BR self-sustaining? And at what point should I think about raising my stakes up to 2/4? I am currently thinking I shouldn't get up to the 2/4 level until I hit a BR of at least $1k (and that's only $1k *after* I've cashed out my lifetime-to-date deposit of $412), but I'm not sure what's advisable here.

Since I've never been in this situation before, I need some good advice from all of you amazing guys - I don't want to continue making costly mistakes and missteps. A real disaster scenario would be to move up too quickly and wipe out my now-nice stack.

Thoughts?
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Postby TightWad » Mon Apr 04, 2005 1:37 am

Music, I really enjoyed reading this entry, mainly because I can relate to a lot of its elements. As much as I hate to admit it, I spent a lot of last year doing what you did, making a bunch of small, "just-one-more" deposits of $50ish. I also went through a rocky time of playing over my bankroll, losing confidence, trying different games that I had no idea how to play...and yes, it may be silly, but I have the WPT dream too :)

Here's what I'd recommend as far as bankroll/cash-out management: first off, do not touch that bankroll until you've worked it up to $600, the 300BB standard for playing 1/2. I know, I know, the 300BB rule isn't set in stone, but I think it's important to have as large a cushion as possible before you start worrying about cash-outs. Granted, I don't always follow my own advice... :oops: ...but that's the subject of a different thread! :)

Once you work up to 600, it really all depends on what your short-term goals are. If you're interested in making money as soon as possible, you could perhaps set a percentage of your weekly gain that you'll cash-out, and the rest stays in there. If you're more interested in moving up and don't currently NEED the extra income, you could leave a higher percentage in the bankroll, or not cash out at all until you reach x level...but you still might be well-advised to make some nominal cashouts for psychological reasons...and making some weekly or biweekly cashouts to recover your previous deposits also sounds like a good idea.

I wouldn't recommend moving up to 2/4 until you're at least at 1500. I've had a LOT of painful experiences as a result of getting impatient and moving up too soon...please, learn from my mistakes!

Most importantly, keep on posting any hands you're unsure about. There's a lot of very qualified and helpful people on this forum that'll do wonders for your game if you give them a chance. Also, feel free to post your Poker Tracker numbers so some of the PT experts (which I'm certainly not) can help you dissect them.

Good luck, and keep us posted!

-TW
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Postby SideSwipe » Mon Apr 04, 2005 4:50 am

Musicman80,

We must be related! My poker experience is almost identical too! :shock:

But after going down $200 at PokerRoom over 4 months late last year. I'm now only $30 away from breaking even, since playing at PokerStars for the last month and a half. I had the same reasons for the losses as you, playing at too high a level, only reading 1 book, chasing hands etc...

As for my short term goals, I'm planning on increasing the bankroll so I can play at the $100 level. As for my long term goals, just to syphon off the profit from the bankroll every month to treat the family. Maybe I'll reasses things once I'm at the level, on whether to continue up the levels.

WPT events are not on my horizon, but good luck to yourself and lets hope I can say in the future...

"...well did you know I once 'chatted' with 8 times WPT bracelet winner, Musicman80 years ago...?"

All the best,

SS
"Every man is a but spark in the darkness"
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Postby kennyg » Mon Apr 04, 2005 7:41 am

I don't recommend cashing out till you have enough to play 3/6... so about $2k. At that point you should take out a percentage and let it keep growing.
"I'll take KennyGs advice before Sklanskys every time. "
-Iceman

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Postby iceman5 » Mon Apr 04, 2005 9:50 am

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Postby piersmajestyk » Mon Apr 18, 2005 4:51 pm

Another key to building your bankroll when you are starting out is taking advantage of the numerous deposit bonuses out there. I have multiple accounts at most sites but even with only one account you should be able to knock off 5-600 a month VERY easily but to do this you need to have about 500 ready to transfer quickly at all times. This is a very important reason to get your bankroll high enough to be able to take advantage of all of this free money. For a low limit player not doing this and not playing under some sort of rake back program at their major site is criminal.
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Postby nato76 » Tue Apr 26, 2005 1:34 pm

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Postby IcarusFalling » Thu Apr 28, 2005 10:02 am

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