I've been trying to figure out situations when it's likely they also were on a draw and missed. Like if the board reads 552 with two diamonds, in most cases I'd say my AK would still be ahead on the flop. The turn is an 8. The river a J (and neither are diamonds). There was a flush and straight possibility, so it's somewhat likely I'm being called down by a draw. I'd bet the flop and turn here and check-call the river. Sure he could have a jack, but the only reasonable way for him to stay with a jack would be if he held two diamonds.
Othertimes, the board is so raggedy, I'll just call down. Like here:
Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (8 handed)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with
![The Queen of Spades [Qs]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Qs.gif)
![The King of Clubs [Kc]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Kc.gif)
2 folds, Hero raises, 4 folds, BB calls.
Flop: (4.50 SB)
![The Three of Hearts [3h]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/3h.gif)
![The Four of Clubs [4c]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/4c.gif)
![The Four of Diamonds [4d]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/4d.gif)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.
Turn: (3.25 BB)
![The Eight of Clubs [8c]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/8c.gif)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.
River: (5.25 BB)
![The Seven of Spades [7s]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/7s.gif)
BB bets, Hero calls.
Final Pot: 7.25 BB
Results in white below:
Hero has Qs Kc (one pair, fours).
BB has Td 5c (one pair, fours).
Outcome: Hero wins 7.25 BB.
The bet came out of nowhere. The only hand it might represent would be drawing with 56. Everything else doesn't make sense.
Another example... this time with A-high. This time I had a read on the player. I've seen this guy play enough to know he is VERY loose and aggressive. He will re-raise with weak draws, bottom pair, etc.
Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (8 handed)
Preflop: Hero is SB with
![The Ten of Clubs [Tc]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Tc.gif)
![The Ace of Spades [As]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/As.gif)
2 folds, MP1 calls, 3 folds, Hero raises, 1 fold, MP1 calls.
Flop: (5 SB)
![The King of Clubs [Kc]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Kc.gif)
![The Five of Diamonds [5d]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/5d.gif)
![The Three of Hearts [3h]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/3h.gif)
Hero bets, MP1 calls.
Turn: (3.50 BB)
![The Six of Clubs [6c]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/6c.gif)
Hero bets, MP1 raises, Hero calls.
River: (7.50 BB)
![The Queen of Spades [Qs]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Qs.gif)
Hero checks, MP1 bets, Hero calls.
Final Pot: 9.50 BB
Results in white below:
Hero has Tc As (high card, ace).
MP1 has 7c 8h (high card, king).
Outcome: Hero wins 9.50 BB.
I didn't like seeing that Q on the river, but once again... he was very LAGgy.
I still need to work on calling down with A-high, K-high and middle-pair at the right times.