by TightWad » Tue Apr 19, 2005 10:09 pm
Hmmmmm...First off, Piers is a ROCK...His hand is pretty much guaranteed to have you dominated in the 70-75% range, either because he's got a better ace, or because he's got a pocket pair and you'll need to hit your ace. Since you don't know which, I really think calling here is asking for trouble.
Nevertheless, I'd call, because it would be fun to try and show up Piers.
Now I'm stuck in a hand I shouldn't be stuck in, but I don't think there's too good a chance I'm ahead on that flop. If he has AK, I'm ahead. Anything else he'd raise with, I'm behind, unless he's gettin freaky...BUT, I might be able to push him off by representing a queen. Therefore, I'd bet out the flop, hoping to be raised (which I'd call), and then check-raise the turn.
But honestly, if I had been trying to muscle him out of pots a good bit, I doubt I'd get him off of something like JJ or TT, so I wouldn't bother trying.
-TW