by TightWad » Tue May 22, 2007 1:23 pm
If I had to guess, fear of being check-raised / wanting a cheap showdown weren't the main reasons why MK checked the turn. He figures to usually be way ahead of his opponent, who is very possibly drawing to 3 or 0 outs. 2 overcards aren't likely without the raise, and neither is a bare ace for that matter. Betting the turn is gonna fold the opponent very very often, while checking may get him to bluff the river, or make a poor call, or catch some shit card that still doesn't beat us. In addition, if the opponent is lucky enough to have outflopped us, we minimize losses with the check. But like I said, with this hand in a HU blinds battle, we're going for value more than caution.
OR, maybe I'm dead wrong and MK just checked because he's an incorrigible puss-bag.
-TW
Edit : Okay, I was doing that from memory because I couldn't get the HH to load...forgot that the king hit on the turn, not the river. The K makes our hand a bit less strong than I implied in my original post, but I still think most of my reasoning works.