I don't agree with your analysis. You rule out baby aces and small pairs because of the raise and his 10%pfr, but I think I'm around 11% or so and I raise those hands in the SB. His steal attempt % would be important here in deciding whether he raises those hands or not. His play throughout the hand is consistent with those hands, assuming he raises them preflop, and assuming that he check calls the flush scare card. You rule out check-calling here because that is not the optimal play, but opponents can make that mistake, particularly if they tend to be weak-tight. Your bet is small enough, and I think he could put you on the flush so that he tries to fill up by calling the turn.
I think there is a similar problem with ruling out the
![[3d]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/3d.gif "The Three of Diamonds")
. Many players will check the turn and just call your small bet, looking to c/r the river. Whether you've seen this player make tricky plays like that in the past would be important. I assume your table image is going to look pretty aggressive to other players, so showing weakness to induce a bet from you makes sense. You are capable of bluffing here, as you said. Since you bet so small, the player could just call, hoping that you will try again on the river, and fearing that a raise will only lead to your folding. Thus, I also think play is consistent with the str8flsh, though played less than stellar. Nevertheless, str8flsh is marginal possibility as are quads. So, I think his range is heavily weighted on fullhouses, and, in addition, I think the range of possible fullhouses is much broader than simply fives full.