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$2/5NL live flop OESD w/55 (theory)

Hand analysis. Post your trouble hands here

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Postby Zeestein » Mon Sep 10, 2007 10:14 am

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Postby iceman5 » Mon Sep 10, 2007 10:16 am

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Postby hard2tel » Mon Sep 10, 2007 4:49 pm

"But meh, what I lack for in talent and intelligence I make up for in lack of ambition." -- Oatmealforxmas

- make more than xaston and roy
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Postby Aisthesis » Tue Sep 11, 2007 1:00 pm

Hmmmm... I can't believe the K is a good scare card to bluff. If he's a thinking player, well, are you supposed to have AK here?

I'm really not fond of the call line, however. You actually have only 6 nut outs, but call it even 8--or 10 if you want assuming 5s is even going to be good (it probably is). There are then 43 unknowns in the deck, so you're 3.3:1 to hit your hand (including some possible difficult decisions). Pot is laying you 2.3:1 on the flop and 2.5:1 on the river.

He's also not going to call a reasonable bet if you hit your hand. So, while the actual odds maybe aren't THAT far off, you have very little implied odds when you play the hand like a draw.

Now, given his presumed raising range, with a raise you surely fold out AK and AQ, both of which have significant outs against your hand--well, AKs may push, but you're not in great shape against that one anyway. This is an enormously scary board, too for a tight raiser with an overpair. I think you have a lot of fold equity here.
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Postby Spank_her_Pair » Tue Sep 11, 2007 3:30 pm

Ais--

it was the [Ks] which made a flush and was an overcard. Juts a random king wouldnt be a scare card.


results:
he had [Qc] [Qh] and won. He said he prolly woulda folded to a river bet.
[5c] [7c]
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Postby iceman5 » Tue Sep 11, 2007 4:06 pm

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