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Analyze This...

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Analyze This...

Postby APerfect10 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:30 pm

Villian (CO), I've played 400 hands with him and his net profit is about even. VP$IP: 27%, PFR: 7%. Rated slightly loose, neutraul. Meaning not aggressive or passive. Somewhere in between.

Party $200 NL

UTG+1 $150
CO $200
Me (Button) $245.15

I'm holding [Kh] [Kd]...

Pre flop:

UTG+1 limps, CO raises $8, I call, UTG+1 calls.

Pot: $24

Flop:
[6d] [5c] [Js]

UTG+1 checks, CO bets $12, I raise to $30, UTG+1 folds, CO calls.

Pot: $84

Turn: [Ks]

CO checks, I bet $40, CO calls.

Pot: $164

River: [2c]

CO bets $50, I push, CO calls $72..

Guess the CO's hand. Any problems with my play?
Last edited by APerfect10 on Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Stoneburg » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:40 pm

I'm guessing he has 43s or KJ.

I think you played it perfectly post-flop, but I'd like to see a re-raise preflop. Is this 3-handed or full table (and you edited out the others)?´

The hand doesn't make much sense. He keeps check/calling after bettinf the flop and getting raised, then makes a weak lead on the river and calls your all-in. So either the river bet is a very unneccesary blocking bet with something stupid like AJ, or he's nailed his weird straight or top two-pair and is afraid you're going to check behind. KJ seems most likely but since I'm a pessimist I'm sticking with 43s!
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Postby APerfect10 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:43 pm

Full ring, 10 players. Converter wasnt working so I manually entered the hand thus I only included the 3 players who saw the flop.
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Postby kennyg » Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:30 am

I like your play throughout the hand.

I think your opponent had aces down. I find it hard to believe he would lead out with JJ there.
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Postby briachek » Mon Jul 25, 2005 8:23 am

I bet the turn a little harder. About $50-60 IMO. The only hand beating you is 34 so I have no problem pushing the river as many other hands would do what he did. I think he had KJ though but since you are posting this, why do I get the feeling he had 34?
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Postby Stoneburg » Mon Jul 25, 2005 9:49 am

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Postby briachek » Mon Jul 25, 2005 9:54 am

Brian [Js][9s]
Anyone who gets in a fair fight, has no tactical skills.
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Postby APerfect10 » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:15 am

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Postby briachek » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:29 am

well, he was about 30% to win on the turn with the flush draw and straight draw. He could easily have had 78s as people do like to raise with suited connectors sometimes like iceman does (usually better than 34s). So, your turn bet gave him correct odds to chase his draw with a little added in for implied odds. If you bet about $50-60 (i lean towards $60), he doesn't have the odds to chase and you further pot commit him for the river if he has a hand like KJ.
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Postby kennyg » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:50 am

You can't worry about this hand...not with limited buyins like online.

If you guys had no cap on the buyins...well then you have to worry.
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