by Thxlbx » Thu Sep 13, 2007 11:41 am
I think the weak bet is not necessarily a flush draw. First thing I thought of was a weaker Ace. In that case, he would could have hit two pair with something like A6, and be betting small to pull you into the pot with a smallish bet. I don't see him betting out with a flush draw since the fact you raised pre-flop and both an Ace and a King hit the flop...surely he would think one of those cards, if not both, hit you. He could have also something like QJ of spades, and thus was playing a straight and flush draw. I think his hand range is very fairly wide here on the flop, but the fact that he called a decent raise on the flop and a larger raise on the turn probably means he hit something. Sometimes he will have a busted draw, but I think many times you could see A6, AJ, or even 66. That being said, his check shows weakness on the river. If you think it is a missed draw, I think you have to push here, since more than 3/5 of your stack is in already. Either push all-in or check, and honeestly I am not sure which would be the best decision here. You have three overcards on the board and also a possible straight (unlikely though since you have two tens), so I probably just check behind here.
