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Not this Again

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Not this Again

Postby Rhound50 » Sat Jun 04, 2005 2:54 am

I'm playing live 2/4 NL I start the hand with $200 I just sat down at the table. Villian in question is a pretty tight player and i pretty much ABC, I've never seen him bluf, he only plays/ raises good hands. I am on the button with QQ, Villian raises to $15 utg, pretty much a normal starting raise. 3 callers to me, well I could be behind but I want to know for sure and if he has AK or AQ I want him heads up. So I raise to $60, he thinks about it and smooth calls. I now really think he has AK or AQ. Flop is J52, he checks I bet $80, he thinks about it and puts me all in. WTF do I do now, I only have $60 left but I'm not pretty sure I'm drawing to outs. Really the only hand I can beat is 1010 maybe AJ but I dont think he calls my raise with AJ. He turns over JJ I dont improve. Any ideas how I might have played this better? I guess I'm happy because I made him call off 30$ of his stack with a 4.5:1 dog, which should be a +ev play for me, any other thoughts???
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Postby kennyg » Sat Jun 04, 2005 3:19 am

He's actually a bigger dog if you only include the flop.

You could have gotten away from it with $400 stacks...but what you had is tough to laydown.
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Postby kidluckee » Sat Jun 04, 2005 10:15 am

Blinds = $6, UTG raise + 3 callers = $60, your re-raise = $60. So he had to call $45 to see $126, plus you have $140 more, so he is getting 45:266, which is about 6:1. So, it was actually a bad call by him given the numbers if he puts you on AA-QQ, but if one or two of the other callers comes in, he might get the right price.

As for his re-raise all-in on that flop, I'd like to say I could fold here. I think a great player has to be able to fold - but I am not a great player and probably make a crying call given the pot-size. Really, I would be almost sure this guy has AA or JJ. KK he'd reraise all-in preflop I think. AA some guys will call the big re-raise and let you drive the hand to allow you to throw the rest in on the flop. The only thing you can beat here is a bluff, and given your play so far, he has to think there is very little fold equity to a bluff so tossing $140 more away is pointless.

Tough beat though.
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