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When to push...or not?

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When to push...or not?

Postby JJSCOTT2 » Mon Jun 27, 2005 2:03 pm

Party NL100, opponent is considered agressive.

Opponent: $350
Me: $150

I pick up [5c] [5s] on the button, opponent raises to $3 UTG, 1 caller, I call.

Flop [5h] [Js] [9c]

Opponent leads $15 into a $9 pot, in between caller folds. I decide to flat call here because I think he likes his hand and will probabally make a large bet at the turn.

Turn [8s]

Opponent checks, I decide to bet $35..he runs his time to about 3 seconds and then calls.

River [4h]

Opponent checks again, at this point I've decided I have the best hand and am not worried too much about being beat but I figured that after a substantial bet on the turn taking the pot over $100, my opponent has to figure I'm gonna be willing to push the rest in on the river when he makes that call.

I decide to move all in for my remaining $97, opponent thinks forever and folds.

He proceeds to go on about how he had AJ and he knows he had me but he couldn't call or some crap like that.

So the question is, if you decide that your hand is good, how much should I have bet on the river? I really honestly thought that he would call the all-in on the river but I'm not sure in hindsight that it was the right play, after calling $35 on the turn, he couldn't possibly have folded for another $35, or even $50 really. What do you think?
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Postby MVPSPORTS » Mon Jun 27, 2005 2:15 pm

I think when he checked the river, he was basically telling you he was pretty sure he was losing, no matter what he said... When he checks and you push, he's not gonna call w/ TPTK very often... I probably would've bet $40-$60 and prayed for a call... It makes you seem a little weaker, and he may very well have called w/ his AJ...
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Postby iceman5 » Mon Jun 27, 2005 4:31 pm

In situations like that, I like to bet the same amount on the river that I bet on the turn. I wouldnt be surprised if he had AK and wasnt calling anything.
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