by emmasdad » Tue Oct 09, 2007 6:20 pm
Stanford Wong's
Also, read the sports betting forum at 2+2.
By nature, successful sports bettors do not share strategy and secrets like poker players do. For example, I am decent at finding arbitrage opportunities, but I am never going to tell anyone about an arb before I book it. The fear is probably well founded in general - a 2+2 poster was posting about "botting the WNBA" last season. His rate was ~60%. Toward the end of the season, as soon as he posted his picks, the line moved. Whether this was because the books were watching his posts, or whether it was because sufficient action was resulting from the threads so the square books were shoring up their lines, I don't know, but either way it was uncanny in how the line would move in the wrong direction within an hour of his post.