by Beavis68 » Mon Oct 09, 2006 4:37 pm
the problem is if you dont get all in preflop, you cant say what your odds are when you get all in post flop.
If you could guarantee yourself in 82% chance, hey that is great, but you can't unless you do it pre-flop.
you are also losing equity on the hands he would call a raise with PF, but not on most flops (unless he would CB with nothing..
The real value in double through this guy, vs just picking up the pot is undetermined, without knowing that, you can't make any concrete case one way or the other.
Although, I must say I am leaning towards this play being a good one, mostly because even though you have a good relative stack, 32bbs is not that great.