Well Paula Abdul eat your heart out.... It is indeed one step forward and two steps back, and today was maybe my most annoying day of the month, sigh...
Felt I played great poker for 2 hours today without a break, didn't seem to catch a hand. I moved up to the $200 PLO at empire, found two nice games, and found some OK tables at crypto as well in the $100 and £100 PLOs. Had a few minor skirmishes that cost a few bucks early, and then got neatly up by making my top set hold up at crypto against a poor player on a draw for a $200 pot.
However, I was card dead all night and, as so often happens in these spots, I made a couple of plays (most were good and netted me money) including, alas, two that cost me pretty badly and ended up yielding a pretty awful session that set me back even further in my monthly winnings, back down below $1000 now and the $2500 i was wanting is but a distant target

.
My first yucky moment came as I made a judgement play against a mediocre player in the $200 game at empire. I had played tight, and seen this guy already badly overplay AA on a low-card flop and lose to a flopped straight. He made a comment in chat about how he should've got away from it. Anyway, about an hour later I get AKJTds with the Ad. I raise in LP and the player in question re-raises from the blinds. Bad move because now I am fairly sure he has AA. He had about $110 at the start of the hand and I had him covered. Anyhow, flop comes 678 with two diamonds, he checks to me and I put him all in for his last $70. Amazingly, he makes the same awful play that he COMMENTED on (that he shoulda folded) earlier and his aces held up. I was pretty astonished he could make that call on a hand that is almost certainly drawing dead, or at the very BEST basically not a big favourite if I had the flush draw and NOTHING else. I wouldn't have made the raise without the diamond nut flush draw, but in doing so I knew he didn't have it and thus would likely fold. Anyway, enough whining - suffice to say that I missed my outs (9s flushes and possible runners to 2 pair/trips) and he won a decent pot

.
The second one that rankled me was, basically, horrible play by me. In fact my turn play wasn't actually that bad, but not doing more on that flop was pretty awful. The thing that got to me was that I THOUGHT the button player, raising preflop, likely had a hand like AKJT or maybe something containing underpairs to the king, and I gave a free card to try to capture his stack on the turn... Just basically making the rudimentary error of trying to make something happen because i'd been running dry, seen a big hand and wanting to make a big score. I shoulda just made the full raise on the flop (although of course I would still probably eventually have lost most of my stack here), instead of trying to be smart.... Oh well, these things happen.
My turn play is PERHAPS not as bad as it may have seemed... This guy was a solid enough player but I'd seen him make one big raise earlier in a similar spot without much of a hand... I was putting in $150 into a $400 pot, and even if he had the goods I was getting $100 back of my $150 investment. There was always a slim chance he had turned a flush draw, or was pushing some high hand but... I guess in retrospect I shoulda realised his flop bet plus the turn raise (raises almost always spell danger in PLO!) were some sort of draw, and that turn hit the only likely one.... However, his preflop raise (high cards?) the knowledge he didnt have to be on a blind bluff very often for me to be +ve EV, plus the knowledge he'd made a play or two earlier, had me outthinking myself... my finger was hovering over the fold button and at the last minute i went against my better instincts and raised him down. So annoyed at doing that, I know that when I trust my instincts and don't make crying calls I play much better... even though you can even argue that the $150 wasn't too -ve EV (might have been a genius play if he was messing with a flush draw or something!) I still think this was just horrible, from start to finish. Ugh.
$200 PL Omaha Hi - Thursday, March 17, 18:23:06 EDT 2005
Table Table 36824 (Real Money)
Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: Fel_Monk ( $193 )
Seat 2: kaffeuffe ( $534.25 )
Seat 3: guyslikeme ( $175.9 )
Seat 7: moilanen ( $410.8 )
Seat 8: iron81 ( $232.1 )
Seat 5: ginadavis3 ( $157.5 )
Seat 9: WnnrHOGAN ( $185 )
Seat 10: going2Aruba ( $196 )
Seat 4: D_GenR8 ( $204.75 )
Seat 6: boldfolder ( $200 )
WnnrHOGAN posts small blind [$1].
going2Aruba posts big blind [$2].
boldfolder posts big blind [$2].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Fel_Monk [ Qh Ks Kc 9c ]
Fel_Monk calls [$2].
kaffeuffe folds.
guyslikeme calls [$2].
D_GenR8 calls [$2].
boldfolder checks.
moilanen folds.
>You have options at Table 36669 Table!.
iron81 raises [$10].
WnnrHOGAN folds.
going2Aruba folds.
Fel_Monk calls [$8].
guyslikeme folds.
D_GenR8 calls [$8].
boldfolder folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 3h, 4s, Kd ]
Fel_Monk checks.
D_GenR8 checks.
iron81 bets [$2].
Fel_Monk calls [$2].
D_GenR8 folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 7h ]
>You have options at Table 36669 Table!.
Fel_Monk bets [$30].
iron81 raises [$128.95].
>You have options at Table 36669 Table!.
>You have options at Table 36669 Table!.
Fel_Monk is all-In [$151]
iron81 calls [$52.05].
** Dealing River ** [ Qc ]
iron81 shows [ 5d, 8s, 7s, 6d ] a straight, three to seven.
Fel_Monk shows [ Qh, Ks, Kc, 9c ] three of a kind, kings.
iron81 wins $400 from the main pot with a straight, three to seven
I then went on my now customary run of bad cards/beats in the last hour - lost a small pot to a draw when my set went down in flames again, and made a few aggressive plays which again didn't pay off.
$370 down or so at empire

gone on a horror run there in the last few days (though I guess 370 is only a coupla buyins at $200)... I started great after the blinds changed, and again started solidly today but nothing has gone right yet AGAIN at this site and i'm back where I started.... $808, 8 up from my buyin lol. Should grab some rake rebate, if I still have any cash there come the end of the month....
I even managed to lose $85-odd at crypto, well.... just a horrible, horrible day. Again.
I need to break this snap soon because I am getting utterly sick of it.
Winrate and stuff to follow when I can be bothered working it out. Grrrrrrr.
Monk
xxxxx