by EscapePlan9 » Sat Aug 19, 2006 6:20 pm
Never fear set over set. I can count on one hand the amount of times I've lost set over set on the flop in the thousands of SNGs I've played. The possibility of taking his entire stack for a small cost to your own is too much to pass up. On a flop of 722 and him betting out, fold. With an MTT, you can try for some post-flop play, but with SNGs, don't throw in more chips here. You're only ahead of AK and maybe AQ from this raiser. You'll lose to JJ+ too often here.
These players will almost assuredly never fold the overpair here. Complete bullocks to think otherwise. I'd even have a tough time folding KK or AA on a T72 flop in a SNG. Say I bet out with KK and am re-raised. He could have JJ, QQ, Tx or something worse (I stack players all the time who have Tx here), so I'd definitely not fold. I'd probably 3-bet all-in.
Those 120 chips really don't matter that much when you compare it to your ENORMOUS implied odds here. Think about it... you can take the blinds once at 50/100 and gain your 120 back. You're not in terrible shape by calling, having 1300 left, and then folding on the flop. Having nearly 3000 chips, on the other hand, puts you in good shape.