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2/4nl AA. who makes this flop call?

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2/4nl AA. who makes this flop call?

Postby Stelvask » Tue Apr 12, 2005 10:01 pm

2/4nl on stars. both my opponent and i have full stacks. he posted a blind in MP.i don't recognize him.

I'm OTB with [As][Ac].

CO limps. I raise to $24. MP calls.

$56 pot.

flop: heads up

[Ks][Td][6d].

he checks. i bet $40. he goes all in.

who calls?
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Postby kennyg » Tue Apr 12, 2005 10:20 pm

Since he's a full stack...I fold.
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Postby palman » Tue Apr 12, 2005 10:28 pm

I do..... smells like a draw to me.

KK is ruled out due to his limp call preflop.
K10 seems like a hand most would fold
10-10 I suppose some could limp preflop with it, I would, but I think people try to milk their sets a little more than this.
6-6 Again, I think most try to milk their sets a little more.

Odds are you are ahead, combined with pot odds, I think this is a clear call. I don't think anyone can make an arguement that you are behind more than 50% of the time.

Your flop bet is the perfect size to induce someone with a draw to think they can buy it.
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Postby Mad Genius » Tue Apr 12, 2005 11:00 pm

Pretty sure he has a big draw here, AQdd, AJdd, J9dd, etc. I guess you have to call here.
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Postby droqqa » Tue Apr 12, 2005 11:41 pm

Flush draw, no doubt. Even if he has [Qd] [Jd], you are still a favorite. I call.

D
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Postby Stelvask » Tue Apr 12, 2005 11:56 pm

i was rooting for [Qd][Jd]. unfortunatly, he had 66.

i went through nearly the entire time bank trying to figure this one out.

i couldn't imagine 66 pushing on this board - even though i'm showing strength, the only hand i can reasonably call him with is K10, AA, and *maybe* AK. i'm just relieved to see that most of you aren't saying "clear fold".
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Postby kennyg » Wed Apr 13, 2005 8:30 am

:) that's kinda what I figured he had. A couple of players I know will do this on purpose..trying to make it look like their buying. *cough* me...lol

The more and more I play....the more marginal I think AA is. Even if you are winning this hand..you probably aren't winning by much if he has a monster draw. Folding in these type of situations may be -EV; but your varience will sure be a hell of a lot less.
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