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Initial Results ~ Feedback Plese

Postby pokerzen » Wed Nov 15, 2006 8:06 am

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Location: I'm from Canada, eh.

Postby Girevik » Wed Nov 15, 2006 8:46 am

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Postby phytopath » Wed Nov 15, 2006 10:48 am

37% VPIP is very loose, I don't think it is possible even at 6-max to win with a VPIP that high. For full ring you will evenetually get brutalized.

As for your win-rate, 10BB/100 is not even close to sustainable, maybe without rake against the weakest players it is but otherwise no. In low rake .5/1 games the best players can win around 5 BB/100. That usually decreases as you move up.

Anyway congrats on your short-term success, because it appears you are just running insanely hot, but you should really work on tightening up and playing good poker and not really worry about the win rates, at 10K you start to get an idea, at 50K you can begin to get an approximation of your true rate.
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Postby Kuso » Wed Nov 15, 2006 11:12 am

forum/viewtopic.php?t=8719

this thread will help you estimate a band for your winrate. i imagine that you'll find that the 95% confidence interval is pretty wide.

10bb/100 is not sustainable unless you're playing HU/SH and are good and/or you don't pay rake.

if you can maintain 5 bb/100 over 50k hands or so, then you can be confident that you're killing the game. hopefully you will have moved up before then.

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