by Bob314 » Sun Apr 24, 2005 1:57 am
You would expect him to raise with a big pair on the flop because of the flush potential (which he has to acknowledge because there were no preflop raises). It seems silly to me to raise with the boat here as well, (other than you probably won't bet the river after he smooth calls twice, so about the only thing he is going to get called when he bets is a small value bet). If he is a decent player I don't see why you guys think he'd limp with A-5 or A-4 in UTG+2. Also, his raise wasn't very big, and you only have to call $60 into a $164 pot. This seems more like a milking bet than a protecting bet. .I don't know what I'd do in your spot (although I can say that I'd have a hard time getting away from this hand and I'd be more likely to see the hand through to the end), these are just some things I thought about while considering this hand.
If I was to see the hand through to the end I think I'd call his turn bet and then check-call on the river--I think coming over the top here is going to be the wrong play the majority of the time.