Blind vs Blind and Blind vs Steal Hands in Limit
This may end up being a very lengthy and rather technical post, but hopefully it will end up helping my limit game and that of anyone who may read it.
Where as I consider that many, but not all, of my problems are possibly due to bad runs (ie getting it all-in way ahead and being sucked out on a higher % of times than should happen so far in a not so significant sample size), I believe that my problems in limit are more due to my play and opposing player skill level.
I don't believe that I am a bad player, as a matter of fact I believe that I am a good limit plalyer, but it seems that the majority of limit players even in the 1/2 stakes are good aggressive players and much better than those stakes have seen in the past. My numbers after 17,193 hands at the 1/2 limit stakes are the following.......
17/7.5/29 2.08 Total AF +$9.36 or +0.03 bb/100
That is the epidimy of a break even player if I ever saw one. My goal, of course, is to not only beat the 1/2 limit game, but improve to a +3-5 bb/100 area.
One of my biggest leaks has become blind vs blind or blind vs steal (lp raise) hands. While it does seem that far too often I am holding a big hand (AQs+ or TT+) in this situation only to be facing a better hand or a worse hand that ends up better, but there must be more to it than that. Even in those situations I believe I may be hanging onto or being too aggressive with these hands in the belief that they are stronger than they are in heads up situations against either a blind who came in for a discount or a LP raiser/stealer in position. Following are the blind vs blind and blind vs steal hands I played in my last session with some analysis to follow.......
Hand #1:
![The Jack of Hearts [Jh]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Jh.gif)
[Js] in the SB
Button - not loose, but very aggressive player who does not give up and does not usually fold. I have more hands vs this player (900+) than any other player in my database. I have seen her raise with hands like A3s and KJo from early to middle position and on many occasions call down with Ace high. (22/18/37)
BB - not many hands, but he had cold called a preflop raise OTB and shown down KTo. Not very aggressive, but did not like to fold (28/4/31)
Folded to button who raises, I 3-bet, BB calls 2, and Button caps, I call, BB calls
![The King of Diamonds [Kd]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Kd.gif)
[Td][7c] Pot 12 SB (I don't like this flop, but knowing Button's tendencies doesn't lead me to believe I am definitely behind here)
Checked to Button who bets, I raise hoping to discourage BB from hanging around with AJ or the like which works, and Button just calls
![The Eight of Spades [8s]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/8s.gif)
Pot 8 BB
I bet, Button raises, and I dump.
Aftermath: I believe that I played this hand well and folded when I should. Of course there was a small chance I was still ahead, but it was much more likely that I was behind or Button had a number of outs. I still like my flop c/r as it knocked BB out and also let Button know that I was serious about this hand which in turn made me respect her turn raise a bit more than I normally would have. What am I beating there that she raises?
![The Ace of Diamonds [Ad]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Ad.gif)
[Qd] which would have a number outs on me anyway? I can't see her raising the turn with anything else I beat here.
Saved Bets? - It would have cost me 2 additional bets to see the river (12-2 or 6-1). Again I think folded this hand correctly here and added 2 BB to my bottom line.
History:
- PT tells me that I've had JJ in the SB 8x. I've won 62.5% of those hands for a net of +$16.75 or +$2.09 per hand or 1.05 BB/hand.
- This was only the 2nd time I've faced a blind vs blind or blind vs steal situation with JJ in the SB. The other time I won 3.25 BB from the BB.
Conclusion: - Although a small sample size, I don't consider JJ to be a leak. In fact after reviewing all JJ hands in the SB as well as just the overall stats for JJ in BB, CO, and OTB (all positive) I consider it to be a strength from these positions.
Hand 2:
![The Ace of Hearts [Ah]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Ah.gif)
[9c] in the BB
Different table, but Button is the same opponent from last hand so I know her well.
Folded to Button who raises, SB folds, I call
![The Four of Diamonds [4d]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/4d.gif)
[Ac][Ad] Pot 4.5 SB (Obviously a golden flop. Button may have the last Ace, but knowing that she'll raise A3s from EP/MP means she's raising any Ace from the Button and I beat more than half of those. Many more good scenarious than bad for me here.)
I check/call the flop
![The King of Diamonds [Kd]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Kd.gif)
Pot 3.25 BB (Not elated about the diamond, but I can't really worry about that heads up here)
I throw in a check-raise which gets called, not raised which makes me feel even better.
![The Four of Clubs [4c]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/4c.gif)
Pot 7.25 BB (While this card means I'm not losing the pot, it also may mean I'm splitting instead of winning so I'm not sure what I think about this river yet)
I bet, Button calls
Button shows
![The King of Clubs [Kc]](https://pofex.com/images/smilies/Kc.gif)
[Qs]
Aftermath: As much as I loved that flop, I now have to admit that the turn card was the most important card on that board giving Button a pair of Kings. I think I played this hand brilliantly and my check/call instead of c/r on the flop allowed Button to not only catch a King, but also believe she was ahead since I played the flop passively.
Saved Bets? - Obviously I didn't save any bets since I won, but I did feel that I added at least 1 BB and possibly 2 by waiting until the turn to c/r.
History:
- PT tells me that I've been dealt A9o in the BB 15x and won 33.33% of those hands (5x) for a profit of +$5.25 or +$0.35 per hand or +0.18 bb/hand
- I've been in one blind vs blind situation with this hand from the BB and won on the flop and one other blind vs steal attempt and folded to a bad flop.
Conclusion: After reviewing all A9o from the BB hands as well as from the SB, CO, and OTB I don't consider A9o and therefore medium Aces (A7-AT) to be a leak. I am slightly more negative than I would like to, but that stems from a big pot I lost from the button to JJ in the BB where I flopped an Ace and JJ hit a set on the river. I seem to play A9 very passively against steals, calling and folding when I miss, and very aggressively in blind vs blind situations which I believe is correct. I can't find any situations where I've taken this hand too far after a CO or OTB open-raise on my part and then met resistance when I missed.
To be continued.....maybe. There are a few more hands and this is more time consuming than I thought it would be. There is an AQs hand in the blinds that I could just kick myself for even though I was a little unlucky to be up against AK OTB. There was an AJ hand I lost to JTs after hitting an Ace and a K6s hand I may have taken took too far in a blind vs blind battle. Also a QJ BB hand I got lucky on vs KQ.