by Mad Genius » Thu May 26, 2005 1:45 pm
I put him on the following hands here. KQ, AA, 78, or 77/88. I figured he would fold KQ and AA everytime here, since he has to give me credit for at least 78 in this spot. He will probably fold 78 as well knowing I could have better 2pr, and even if he has set, I'm not THAT big of a dog.
I do like the lead and push over the top of a raise line as well, but I think the problem with it in this spot is that since the pot is so small to start out with, it's gonna look awkward if I bet 25, he raises to say 75, and I go allin for 1500. In raised pots that is probably what I'd be most likely to do.
And Kalle, I usually don't like to put my money in drawing to the non-nuts, but in this case it was heads-up and it was so clear that he wasn't on a higher flush draw, so I was positive that I had 15 outs, which is a favorite against anything but a set.