by Aisthesis » Tue Sep 25, 2007 1:31 pm
If you can rule out a set on the flop, yes.
The turn brings up new issues imo. I'm not sure your gutshot or set are any good any more if he's over-aggro.
You're a coinflip on the flop vs. two pair as well as monstrous straight draws and big favorite against 1 pair trying to knock you off the hand with outs. You're a big underdog vs. a set, and on the turn, you just became HUGE underdog to any 78 or 37 hand.
Anyhow, I think laying down the flop is an option (if you put him on a set as much as half the time) as well as pushing or calling. While I normally like calling a lot rather than pushing with position, I think in this case I prefer pushing the flop, simply because it's going to be very difficult to distinguish good and bad turns: Does another big card (9-K) make him two pair? Does a low card make him a little straight? Anyhow, again assuming he rarely has a set, it's hard to know where you're at on anything except a 4, an A or a flush card. So, I think I'd either fold or push the flop.