by Aisthesis » Sun Jun 26, 2005 4:21 am
I'll start this one with a hand from tonight that went rather strangely. The analysis to follow has to do a lot with the turn bet as well as the raising quantity (2/5 NLHE).
New player in the game has been catching a lot of 2-pair hands and imo overplaying them. He has something like $500 going into this hand, and I have around $600.
I have AQs on the button and limp after 3 limpers before me, including new guy to my right, who'll play about any ace as well as a bunch of trash (lots of AX, KX hands).
Flop comes A78, rainbow, I believe, although suits are irrelevant here. New player bets out $20 into the $25 pot, and I raise to $60 (information raise). The rest of the table folds, and new player calls.
Turn is a T. I think I still am presumably ahead, so when it's checked to me I bet out $80 into the pot of $145. He moves in for $460, and I fold (another pretty good player and I at the table finally came to the conclusion that he had AT, but with some uncertainty--I don't really see the straight here, but he may also have flopped 2 pair).
Ok, first, I don't like my turn bet here. I think when one's information raise gets a call, it's really better to just check to the river without improvement. I feel like my AQ is enough hand to raise here, but it's certainly not enough hand to really want to play for stack against any normal opponent (i.e., barring "maniac" read). As side note in passing: I think the call here on the part of my opponent is a good argument for making a similar raise on a set (as oppposed to the classic minimum raise).
This, however, raises some questions, I think, regarding raising quantity here. The main one being protecting your hand against draws. Well, if you have a player capable of betting out a good draw (I think I'm the only player in this game who does that, so it's not really a concern here), then the information raise needs to be pretty high, since you're not planning on betting the turn.
In order to give 2:1 on the flop, I'd actually need to bet $85, in point of fact. Then, my opponent would have to call $65 for a chance at a pot of $130. General formula: 3 times the bet plus pot.
With a bit more control over your opponent, I think the raise to $60 is ok, although I really wish I'd made it just a hair more. Anyhow, for purposes of setting up some other bets. such as similar raises on sets as well as semi-bluffs, I really like it a bit higher against an unknown opponent. I rather think $85 was good as semi-bluff or true information raise (as with my AQ) against an unknown opponent. $60-$70 might be a bit better on the set, again assuming it's an unknown opponent--or just a flat call with the intention of raising the turn hard. The flat call is always assumed to be a draw at these tables, so particularly with position, it's a nice way to go--the only downside being that they still don't tend to adequately protect TP-type hands anyway.
Anyhow, I guess the main points of the current post are (just wanted to mention a few other dimensions that do need to be considered here):
1) Make your information raise serious enough to allow a fold. I think giving 2:1 is actually a pretty good guideline.
2) The correct follow-up to a call is just a check to the river without improvement--and really with the intention of folding to any serious heat.