by Telemachus » Fri Feb 04, 2005 6:07 am
A classic SnG dilemma, in my view.
In the past I would have re-raised pre-flop w AK as you did. However, at present, I am erring more on the side of calling a raise with it. The primary reason I have been doing this is you can't read much, if anything, into how they react. It comes back to Ciaffione's point about not raising with a hand that you wouldn't be comfortable calling a re-raise with. What happens if he moves all in? You have a clear fold, in my view, even though, at these levels, you could well have him dominated. So I would have flat called with AK, and seen a flop. This also has helped me not overplay it postflop, which I know have tended to.
I like your raise on the flop- with a board like that, you have to figure you are ahead. When he goes all in on the turn, you have a very tough decision. I think that you can make a case for both, but I would have folded here, in spite of, as three says, 3.5 to 1 pot odds on my money.
Here is why I fold- any hand with a 10 in it makes the straight, and any big pp has tripped up. It is also not impossible that he flopped the nut straight. I don't like calling an all bet, and possibly going broke, with only TPTK on this board. If you fold, you have 400 chips left- this can be enough to cash. Incidentally, if he had checked the turn, I probably would have moved all in.
Had a similar situation to this on Party a couple of nights ago, playing 2 10 SnGs simultaneously. First hand, get AQ on the button and raise 3 BBs. 1 limper calls, as do both blinds. Flop is A K J. Checked to me. I overbet the pot and got re-raised by the limper all in. I think for ages, am 60% 'sure' I'm ahead, and fold, leaving myself with 580 or so out of 800. He shows the Q 10. I went on to win this one, while, on the other table went out in 5th despite doubling up on the 2nd hand with QQ v 10 10 all in pre!