Advanced search

Standard play? Short-stacked with middle-pair

All topics related to the mini tournaments

Moderators: Cactus Jack, LPF Police Department

Standard play? Short-stacked with middle-pair

Postby EscapePlan9 » Mon Nov 07, 2005 10:03 pm

CO was loose and weak.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (7 handed)

MP2 (t2240)
CO (t970)
Button (t1275)
SB (t870)
Hero (t410)
UTG (t895)
MP1 (t1340)

Preflop: Hero is BB with [3h], [8d].
3 folds, CO calls t100, 2 folds, Hero checks.

Flop: (t250) [4c], [Ks], [8c] (2 players)
Hero bets 310 (all-in)

Since he's loose, he doesn't necessarily have a king. He could call here with a lower pocket pair than 8s, a flush draw, or a-high even. I've seen it all. I figure in most cases, he'd just fold here, but even when he calls I'm not in terrible shape.
User avatar
EscapePlan9
Professional Donk-n-Go'r
 
Posts: 4305
Joined: Fri May 27, 2005 2:22 pm
Location: Rochester, NY

Postby flafishy » Tue Nov 08, 2005 2:13 am

I think you have to take the chance here, no matter your read on the CO. He's pretty low on chips, too, so he's going to have a hard time calling you. My guess is that if he has a K or a pocket pair, he would have raised preflop. So I think the only way he has you beat now is with a stronger 8 (unlikely). And chances are too slim for him to have a flush draw for you to be wary of it.
User avatar
flafishy
 
Posts: 1241
Joined: Tue Jan 04, 2005 11:19 am
Location: Lauderhill, FL

Postby CybrPunk » Tue Nov 08, 2005 9:53 am

I like it. You can't consider a preflop push for a second with that trash hand but when you flop middle pair and push you're putting the CO to the tough decision. I think you'll win this more often than not and is definitely a +EV move. If he does have the K in his hand, so be it and there's another STT about to start up with your name on it :)
User avatar
CybrPunk
 
Posts: 32
Joined: Mon Nov 07, 2005 2:41 pm
Location: Ft. Lauderdale, FL

Postby Stoneburg » Thu Nov 10, 2005 5:58 pm

The only option would be to check/call and you'd prefer hands with two overcards to fold so pushing is definetely the best move. I would expect to be called by any pair, and probably A high, because I would call with that if I was him, but then again I wouldn't be dumb enough to open-limp like that.
User avatar
Stoneburg
 
Posts: 5931
Joined: Mon May 09, 2005 9:03 pm
Location: Sweden

Postby CybrPunk » Fri Nov 11, 2005 11:22 am

The best candidate for a push here is villain could fold hands like 99-QQ if he really beleives you hold a K.
User avatar
CybrPunk
 
Posts: 32
Joined: Mon Nov 07, 2005 2:41 pm
Location: Ft. Lauderdale, FL

Postby BigPhish » Fri Nov 11, 2005 11:36 am

Clearly a push.
-BigPhish
From my bankroll to yours, all across the Internet.
User avatar
BigPhish
 
Posts: 851
Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2004 3:47 pm

Postby Sunbob » Fri Nov 11, 2005 12:59 pm

Its push or fold time - I push.
Sunbob
A poker tournament is a test of your skill versus your opponents luck.
User avatar
Sunbob
Enthusiast (Online)
 
Posts: 425
Joined: Sat Nov 13, 2004 1:17 am
Location: Cedar Rapids, IA


Return to Sit and Go's (SnGs)

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests